Tourist Flows and Location

Why is this topic important? 
Understanding the spatial distribution and movement of tourists is fundamental for destination management, marketing, and infrastructure planning. Tourist flows are not random; they are shaped by destination attractiveness, transport connectivity, and spatial interactions between regions. Analyzing these patterns at both macro (inter-city) and micro (intra-attraction) levels allows stakeholders to manage overcrowding, design better itineraries, and leverage spillover benefits where a region benefits from the tourism growth of its neighbors. Furthermore, understanding location decision-making is critical for businesses, such as hotels, as location is a fixed attribute that significantly influences performance and survival.
 
What has our team done so far? 
Our work has extensively modeled tourist movements using advanced spatial econometrics and tracking technologies. We have investigated the “spillover effects” in tourism flows, confirming that inbound and domestic flows to Chinese cities are spatially autocorrelated and clustered in specific hot-spots like the Yangtze River Delta. Our team has developed a “Tourism Spillover Index” based on a two-stage distance-based model to quantify a region’s potential to benefit from multidestination travel. At a micro-level, we utilized open GPS-trajectory data to identify specific spatiotemporal behaviors in mountainous scenic areas, classifying movement into patterns like “proximity transfer” and “day-climbing”. We also creatively used user-generated travel tips to track discrepancies between “expected” (planned) and “actual” tourist flows, revealing how spatial constraints alter itineraries. Additionally, we examined the role of transport connectivity, finding that air transport generally has a greater influence on intercity flows than rail, though this varies by distance. Finally, regarding business location, we have analyzed hotel distribution patterns and the specific location factors that drive hotel selection, such as agglomeration effects and accessibility.

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Related Resources

Pulse of American Domestic Tourism

“The ‘Pulse of American Domestic Tourism’ project serves as a digital monitor for the nation’s internal mobility. By mining transportation-derived mobility data, we develop a comprehensive matrix of tourism flows connecting American MSAs. This data-driven approach unveils the rhythmic shifts in visitor demand and regional connectivity. Crucially, we ground these digital insights through extensive cross-validation with household survey data, creating a verified, high-resolution framework for understanding the evolving landscape of domestic travel.”

Key Vocabulary Used (Why it works):

  • Inter-MSA travel flows: Specific and accurate to your methodology.
  • Arterial circulation / Rhythmic shifts: Reinforces the “Pulse” metaphor without being cheesy.
  • High-granularity / Spatiotemporal precision: Highlights the “Big Data” advantage.
  • Rigorously cross-validated: Emphasizes the reliability of your model (crucial for academic trust).
  • Ground-truth metrics: A professional way to refer to the survey data as the standard of truth.

Tourist Experience Simulation Tool

Tourist Experience Simulation Tool is a Web-GIS system designed to help tourism practitioners monitor and simulate tourist experiences under varying environmental conditions. This tool allows users to input specific scenarios defined by air pollution levels (specifically PM2.5), weather conditions (temperature, sun, wind, and precipitation), and date types (e.g., weekends or holidays). Utilizing a predictive algorithm derived from the sentiment analysis of geotagged social media posts, the system calculates “experience scores” to visualize the spatial distribution of tourist satisfaction across the city. This platform enables stakeholders to conduct scenario analyses, such as predicting experience fluctuations during heavy pollution events, and offers features for benchmarking specific locations and recommending itineraries that mitigate the negative impacts of poor air quality

Hotel Location Selection and Analysis Tool (HoLSAT)

Hotel Location Selection and Analysis Tool (HoLSAT) is a WebGIS-based spatial decision support system and simulation toolkit designed for hotel location assessment. In your study of Beijing hotels, we programmed a simulation toolkit that allows hotel investors to assess various determinants and calculate the probability of a hotel locating in a specific potential site based on estimated model coefficients. Furthermore, in our research on Los Angeles, you developed a location evaluation tool that utilizes a “fishnet” grid system to predict and simulate location preference scores for any site within the research area. This tool allows stakeholders to conduct scenario analyses, evaluating how different traveler portfolios or changes in location factors (such as new metro lines) would influence guest satisfaction with a hotel’s location. Additionally, our work on Hong Kong hotel preferences advocates for a Web-GIS platform that uses willingness-to-pay (WTP) estimates to demonstrate promising location sites for new market entrants