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Research

Peer-Reviewed Publications

Accepted and Forthcoming

26. “Voters and Donors: Unequal Political Consequences of Fracking.” With Hye Young You.  Journal of Politics 84(3). July 2022. https://www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/717084

In “Print”

25. “Presidential Approval and the Inherited Economy.” American Journal of Political Science 65(4): 938-953. October 2021. https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/ajps.12588

24. “State Policy and Mental Health Outcomes under COVID-19.” With Andrea Campbell. Journal of Health Politics, Policy, and Law 46(5): 811-830. October 2021. https://doi.org/10.1215/03616878-9155991

23. “Do District Attorneys Represent Their Voters? Evidence from California’s Era of Criminal Justice Reform.” Journal of Political Institutions and Political Economy 2(2): 169-197. June 2021. https://www.nowpublishers.com/article/Details/PIP-0034

22. “Policy Effects, Partisanship, and Elections: How Medicaid Expansion Affected Opinion Toward the Affordable Care Act.” With Joshua Clinton. Journal of Politics 83(2): 498-514. April 2021. https://www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/710085 

21. “Using Screeners to Measure Respondent Attention on Self-Administered Surveys: Which Items and How Many?” With Adam Berinsky, Michele Margolis, and Chris Warshaw. Political Science Research and Methods 9(2): 430-437. April 2021. https://doi.org/10.1017/psrm.2019.53

20. “When Voters Matter: The Limits of Local Government Responsiveness.” Urban Affairs Review 57(2): 402-427. March 2021. https://doi.org/10.1177%2F1078087419878812

19. “Missing the Target? Using Surveys to Validate Social Media Ad Targeting.” Political Science Research and Methods 9(1): 215-222. January 2021. https://doi.org/10.1017/psrm.2018.68

18. “Intraparty Polarization in American Politics.” With Eric Groenendyk and Kirill Zhirkov. Journal of Politics 82(4): 1616-1620. October 2020. https://www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/pdfplus/10.1086/708780

17. “Exploitative Revenues, Law Enforcement, and the Quality of Government Service.” With Rebecca Goldstein and Hye Young You. Urban Affairs Review 56(1): 5-31. January 2020. https://doi.org/10.1177%2F1078087418791775

16. “How Unusual Was 2016? Flipping Counties, Flipping Voters, and the Education-Party Correlation Since 1952.” Perspectives on Politics 17(3): 666-678. September 2019. https://doi.org/10.1017/S1537592719000768

15. “Who Participated in the ACA? Gains in Insurance Coverage by Political Partisanship.” With Joshua Clinton. Journal of Health Politics, Policy, and Law 44(3): 349-379. June 2019. https://doi.org/10.1215/03616878-7366988

14. “Ideology and Vote Choice in U.S. Mayoral Elections: Evidence from Facebook Surveys.” Political Behavior 40(3): 737-762. September 2018. http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s11109-017-9420-x

13. “Something for Something: How and Why Direct Democracy Impacts Service Quality.” Quarterly Journal of Political Science 13(1): 29-57. April 2018. http://dx.doi.org/10.1561/100.00017004

12. “The Politics of Policy: The Initial Mass Political Effects of Medicaid Expansion in the States.” With Joshua Clinton. American Political Science Review 112(1): 167-185. February 2018. http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/S0003055417000430

11. “Partisan Differences in Nonpartisan Activity: The Case of Charitable Giving.” With Michele Margolis. Political Behavior 39(4): 839-864. December 2017. https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s11109-016-9382-4

10. “Attribution Errors in Federalist Systems: When Voters Punish the President for Local Tax Increases.” Journal of Politics 79(4): 1286-1301. October 2017. http://www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/abs/10.1086/692588

9. “Who Pays for Government? Descriptive Representation and Exploitative Revenue Sources.” With Hye Young You. Journal of Politics 79(3): 1090-1094. July 2017. http://www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/abs/10.1086/691354?af=R

8. “Can We Convert Shirkers Into Workers?” With Adam Berinsky and Michele Margolis. Journal of Experimental Social Psychology 66: 20-28. September 2016. http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0022103115001201

7. “The Distributional Impact of Greater Responsiveness: Evidence from New York Towns.” Journal of Politics 78(1): 105-119. January 2016. https://www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/abs/10.1086/683026

6. “Partisanship and Confidence in the Vote Count: Evidence from U.S. National Elections since 2000.” With Charles Stewart. Electoral Studies 40: 176-188. December 2015. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.electstud.2015.08.004

5. “Closeness Counts: Increasing Precision and Reducing Errors in Mass Election Predictions.” With Kai Quek. Political Analysis 23(4): 518-533. September 2015. https://doi.org/10.1093/pan/mpv022

4. “Separating the Shirkers from the Workers? Making Sure that Subjects Pay Attention on Self-Administered Surveys.” With Adam Berinsky and Michele Margolis. American Journal of Political Science 58(3): 739-753. July 2014. http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/ajps.12081/abstract

3. “State Fiscal Policy during the Great Recession: Budgetary Impacts and Policy Responses.” With Andrea Campbell. Annals of the American Academy of Political and Social Science 650(1): 252-273. November 2013. http://ann.sagepub.com/content/650/1/252

2. “Is Money in Politics Harming Trust in Government? Evidence from Two Survey Experiments.” Election Law Journal 12(1): 53-73. March 2013. http://online.liebertpub.com/doi/abs/10.1089/elj.2012.0181

1. “Disenfranchisement through Divorce? Estimating the Effect of Parental Absence on Voter Turnout.” Political Behavior 35(1): 199-213. March 2013. http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s11109-011-9188-3?null

Working Papers

“Defund the Police? The Effect of George Floyd’s Killing on Support for Local Police Budgets.” April 2021. www.dropbox.com/s/yd3ahs8fx90znng/police%20referendums%20for%20web.pdf?dl=0

“The Effect of Elections On Prosecutor Behavior.” With Emily Fulmer. January 2020.

“The Importance of Issue Representation in a Polarized Congress.” With Joshua D. Clinton and Mary Catherine Sullivan. October 2019.

“Using MRP-Generated Estimates as Independent and Dependent Variables.” With Joshua Clinton. March 2019.

Non Peer-Reviewed Publications

Review of James E. Campbell’s Polarized: Making Sense of a Divided America. Party Politics 25(6): 863-864. November 2019. https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10.1177/1354068819876773

“Constituencies and Public Opinion.” With Andrea Campbell. In The Oxford Handbook of U.S. Social Policy, eds. Daniel Béland, Christopher Howard, and Kimberly J. Morgan. Oxford University Press. 2014. http://www.oxfordhandbooks.com/view/10.1093/oxfordhb/9780199838509.001.0001/oxfordhb-9780199838509

“Conducting Online Experiments on Mechanical Turk.” With Adam Berinsky and Kai Quek. The Experimental Political Scientist 3(1): 2-6. May 2012. https://www.dropbox.com/s/bizmmjl4021ccp0/mturk.pdf?dl=0

Reports, Op/Eds, and Blog Posts

“How Fracking Increased Inequality in Political Participation.” Journal of Politics blog. With Hye Young You. February 23, 2022. https://jop.blogs.uni-hamburg.de/how-fracking-increased-inequality-in-political-participation/

“Police Budgets on the Ballot before and after George Floyd’s Murder.” Temple University Public Policy Lab Policy Brief. January 6, 2022. https://drive.google.com/file/d/1H-Fdlj74Htr_CJCb0kt9oTg1F95LjkEX/view

“State Policy, Local Impact: How Policy Choices Will Shape the Financial Future of Pennsylvania School Districts.” With William Hartman and Timothy Shrom. July 1, 2021. https://sites.google.com/temple.edu/ppl/reports

“Presidential Approval and the Inherited Economy.” American Journal of Political Science Author Summaries. March 4, 2021. https://ajps.org/2021/03/04/presidential-approval-and-the-inherited-economy/

“When Voters Matter: The Limits of Local Government Responsiveness.” Urban Affairs Forum. December 16, 2020. https://urbanaffairsreview.com/2020/12/16/when-voters-matter-the-limits-of-local-government-responsiveness/

“Exploitative Revenues, Law Enforcement, and the Quality of Government Service.” With Becca Goldstein and Hye Young You. Urban Affairs Forum. June 23, 2020. https://urbanaffairsreview.com/2020/06/23/exploitative-revenues-law-enforcement-and-the-quality-of-government-service/

“The Missing Medicaid Millions.” With Jake Haselswerdt and Sean McElwee. Data for Progress. November 12, 2019. https://www.dataforprogress.org/memos/missing-medicaid-millions

“What happens to police departments that collect more fines? They solve fewer crimes.” With Becca Goldstein and Hye Young You. The Monkey Cage. September 24, 2018. https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/monkey-cage/wp/2018/09/24/want-your-police-department-to-collect-more-fines-it-will-solve-fewer-crimes/

“Cities with more African Americans rely more on fines for revenue.” With Hye Young You. London School of Economics USAPP Blog. May 2, 2018. http://blogs.lse.ac.uk/usappblog/2018/05/02/cities-with-more-african-americans-rely-more-on-fines-for-revenue/

“Republicans give more to charity – but not because they oppose income redistribution.” With Michele Margolis. London School of Economics Democratic Audit Blog. November 17, 2017. http://www.democraticaudit.com/2017/11/17/republicans-give-more-to-charity-but-not-because-they-oppose-income-redistribution/

“Republicans Will Be Blamed if Democrats Block ACA Replacement.” Utica College Center of Public Affairs and Election Research. March 15, 2017. https://www.ucpublicaffairs.com/home/2017/3/15/republicans-will-be-blamed-if-democrats-block-aca-replacement-by-michael-sances

“Americans have become much less confident that we count votes accurately.” With Paul Gronke and Charles Stewart. The Monkey Cage August 10, 2016. https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/monkey-cage/wp/2016/08/10/are-u-s-voters-confident-in-their-electoral-system-yes-and-no

“Voter fraud is more believable when your candidate loses.” With Charles Stewart. London School of Economics USAPP Blog. February 11, 2016. http://blogs.lse.ac.uk/usappblog/2016/02/11/voter-fraud-is-more-believable-when-your-candidate-loses/

“The Partisan Trust Gap.” The Monkey Cage April 14, 2011. http://www.themonkeycage.org/2011/04/the_partisan_trust_gap.html