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Research

Peer-Reviewed Publications

20. “When Voters Matter: The Limits of Local Government Responsiveness.” Forthcoming at Urban Affairs Review. September 2019. https://doi.org/10.1177%2F1078087419878812

19. “How Unusual Was 2016? Flipping Counties, Flipping Voters, and the Education-Party Correlation Since 1952.” Perspectives on Politics 17(3): 666-678. September 2019. https://doi.org/10.1017/S1537592719000768

18. “Intraparty Polarization in American Politics.” With Eric Groenendyk and Kirill Zhirkov. Forthcoming at Journal of Politics. August 2019. https://www.dropbox.com/s/b7e7lcyftt6mdmt/ipp.pdf?dl=0

17. “Who Participated in the ACA? Gains in Insurance Coverage by Political Partisanship.” With Joshua Clinton. Journal of Health Politics, Policy, and Law 44(3): 349-379. June 2019. https://doi.org/10.1215/03616878-7366988

16. “Missing the Target? Using Surveys to Validate Social Media Ad Targeting.” Forthcoming at Political Science Research and Methods. March 2019. https://doi.org/10.1017/psrm.2018.68

15. “Ideology and Vote Choice in U.S. Mayoral Elections: Evidence from Facebook Surveys.” Political Behavior 40(3): 737-762. September 2018. http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s11109-017-9420-x

14. “Exploitative Revenues, Law Enforcement, and the Quality of Government Service.” With Rebecca Goldstein and Hye Young You. Urban Affairs Review forthcoming. August 2018. https://doi.org/10.1177%2F1078087418791775

13. “Something for Something: How and Why Direct Democracy Impacts Service Quality.” Quarterly Journal of Political Science 13(1): 29-57. April 2018. http://dx.doi.org/10.1561/100.00017004

12. “The Politics of Policy: The Initial Mass Political Effects of Medicaid Expansion in the States.” With Joshua Clinton. American Political Science Review 112(1): 167-185. February 2018. http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/S0003055417000430

11. “Partisan Differences in Nonpartisan Activity: The Case of Charitable Giving.” With Michele Margolis. Political Behavior 39(4): 839-864. December 2017. https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s11109-016-9382-4

10. “Attribution Errors in Federalist Systems: When Voters Punish the President for Local Tax Increases.” Journal of Politics 79(4): 1286-1301. October 2017. http://www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/abs/10.1086/692588

9. “Who Pays for Government? Descriptive Representation and Exploitative Revenue Sources.” With Hye Young You. Journal of Politics 79(3): 1090-1094. July 2017. http://www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/abs/10.1086/691354?af=R

8. “Can We Convert Shirkers Into Workers?” With Adam Berinsky and Michele Margolis. Journal of Experimental Social Psychology 66: 20-28. September 2016. http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0022103115001201

7. “The Distributional Impact of Greater Responsiveness: Evidence from New York Towns.” Journal of Politics 78(1): 105-119. January 2016. http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0022103115001201

6. “Partisanship and Confidence in the Vote Count: Evidence from U.S. National Elections since 2000.” With Charles Stewart. Electoral Studies 40: 176-188. December 2015. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.electstud.2015.08.004

5. “Closeness Counts: Increasing Precision and Reducing Errors in Mass Election Predictions.” With Kai Quek. Political Analysis 23(4): 518-533. September 2015. http://pan.oxfordjournals.org/content/23/4/518

4. “Separating the Shirkers from the Workers? Making Sure that Subjects Pay Attention on Self-Administered Surveys.” With Adam Berinsky and Michele Margolis. American Journal of Political Science 58(3): 739-753. July 2014. http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/ajps.12081/abstract

3. “State Fiscal Policy during the Great Recession: Budgetary Impacts and Policy Responses.” With Andrea Campbell. Annals of the American Academy of Political and Social Science 650(1): 252-273. November 2013. http://ann.sagepub.com/content/650/1/252

2. “Is Money in Politics Harming Trust in Government? Evidence from Two Survey Experiments.” Election Law Journal 12(1): 53-73. March 2013. http://online.liebertpub.com/doi/abs/10.1089/elj.2012.0181

1. “Disenfranchisement through Divorce? Estimating the Effect of Parental Absence on Voter Turnout.” Political Behavior 35(1): 199-213. March 2013. http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s11109-011-9188-3?null

Working Papers

“Policy Effects, Partisanship, and Elections: How Medicaid Expansion Affected Opinion Toward the Affordable Care Act.” With Joshua Clinton. Revise and resubmit at Journal of Politics. August 2019. https://www.dropbox.com/s/xrhbqk4emv5dn37/aca%20mlm.pdf?dl=0

“Using Screeners to Measure Respondent Attention on Self-Administered Surveys: Which Items and How Many?” With Adam Berinsky, Michele Margolis, and Chris Warshaw. Revise and resubmit at Political Science Research and Methods. August 2019. https://www.dropbox.com/s/o0lx0efozgc9tk8/screener%20scale.pdf?dl=0

“Voters and Donors: Unequal Political Consequences of Fracking.” With Hye Young You. May 2019. https://www.dropbox.com/s/cfgaxwhmai7bxzk/fracking.pdf?dl=0

Other Publications

Review of James E. Campbell’s Polarized: Making Sense of a Divided America. Party Politics forthcoming.

“Constituencies and Public Opinion.” With Andrea Campbell. In The Oxford Handbook of U.S. Social Policy, eds. Daniel Béland, Christopher Howard, and Kimberly J. Morgan. Oxford University Press. 2014. http://www.oxfordhandbooks.com/view/10.1093/oxfordhb/9780199838509.001.0001/oxfordhb-9780199838509

“Conducting Online Experiments on Mechanical Turk.” With Adam Berinsky and Kai Quek. The Experimental Political Scientist 3(1): 2-6. May 2012. https://www.dropbox.com/s/bizmmjl4021ccp0/mturk.pdf?dl=0

Op/Eds and Blog Posts

“What happens to police departments that collect more fines? They solve fewer crimes.” With Becca Goldstein and Hye Young You. The Monkey Cage September 24, 2018. https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/monkey-cage/wp/2018/09/24/want-your-police-department-to-collect-more-fines-it-will-solve-fewer-crimes/

“Cities with more African Americans rely more on fines for revenue.” With Hye Young You. London School of Economics USAPP Blog. May 2, 2018. http://blogs.lse.ac.uk/usappblog/2018/05/02/cities-with-more-african-americans-rely-more-on-fines-for-revenue/

“Republicans give more to charity – but not because they oppose income redistribution.” With Michele Margolis. London School of Economics Democratic Audit Blog. November 17, 2017. http://www.democraticaudit.com/2017/11/17/republicans-give-more-to-charity-but-not-because-they-oppose-income-redistribution/

“Republicans Will Be Blamed if Democrats Block ACA Replacement.” Utica College Center of Public Affairs and Election Research. March 15, 2017. https://www.ucpublicaffairs.com/home/2017/3/15/republicans-will-be-blamed-if-democrats-block-aca-replacement-by-michael-sances

“Americans have become much less confident that we count votes accurately.” With Paul Gronke and Charles Stewart. The Monkey Cage August 10, 2016. https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/monkey-cage/wp/2016/08/10/are-u-s-voters-confident-in-their-electoral-system-yes-and-no

“Voter fraud is more believable when your candidate loses.” With Charles Stewart. London School of Economics USAPP Blog. February 11, 2016. http://blogs.lse.ac.uk/usappblog/2016/02/11/voter-fraud-is-more-believable-when-your-candidate-loses/

“The Partisan Trust Gap.” The Monkey Cage April 14, 2011. http://www.themonkeycage.org/2011/04/the_partisan_trust_gap.html